Belg 2026 Assessment and Kiremt 2026Outlook Hydromet Bulletin

The Kiremt season is expected to exhibit near-normal to slightly variable rainfall conditions across most river basins, leading to generally moderate Hydro meteorological moisture availability. These conditions will support soil moisture recharge, surface runoff generation, river flow maintenance, and partial groundwater replenishment, thereby benefiting agricultural production, water supply systems, and ecosystem functions. Overall hydro meteorological conditions are likely to remain balanced, with no strong dominance of either excess rainfall or drought conditions at the seasonal scale. However, due to the inherent spatial and temporal variability of Kiremt rainfall, localized hydro meteorological hazards such as flash floods, riverine flooding, and waterlogging may still occur in vulnerable catchments and low-lying areas. Therefore, continuous monitoring of rainfall patterns, river discharge, and flood-prone zones remains essential for effective early warning and seasonal water resources management.